Gavin, can you comment on why Triana/The Deep Space Climate Observatory remains in storage? Yet at the same time, many people form emotional attachments to spacecraft both real and fictional. At least this failure doesn’t make a lot of difference in our need to mitigate and the vast bulk of the mitigation strategies we must implement. Author: paperclipbitch Pairings: Liam/Louis Summary: AU. The only metric preventing them from beating the costs of expendables is flight rate. Posts All Comments Daily bit. Lola half challenged me to write the story using the remaining five words... and you know I love a challenge. It's wrong to wish on space hardware. Meanwhile, I don’t think Ares has remotely the capabilities required for on-orbit service missions of the Hubble variety. Moral: There’s a reason why rocket scientists are supposed to be smart. In dollars per kilo, the shuttle beats the Taurus by an order of magnitude. It would be best if that was the largest area of the budget, which is currently occupied by the international space station, for which ~43 billion was set aside by Congress c. 2001, plus additional costs added in 2007. It's wrong to wish on space hardware I've been putting together a writing "portfolio" of sorts, and found this old show review I wrote back in 2006. Three of the five researchers disagree with the UN’s IPCC view that recent warming is primarily the consequence of man-made industrial emissions of greenhouse gases. Of course that not everyone would agree and there must be fierce fights over which instruments go up when, but any overview would help. A total of 150 Monte Carlo runs were carried out and analyzed. HP Wins $5.6 Billion Contract With NASA, May 2007. http://www.newsy.com/videos/launch_fails_for_nasa, Climate model projections compared to observations, Dummies Guide to the latest ‘Hockey Stick’ controversy, El Nino, Global Warming, and Anomalous U.S. Winter Warmth, Myth vs. There seem to be a lot of misconceptions about spaceflight and satellites here. Let’s just say: Human resources now procures “Talent” for the agency. One thing which I found quite interesting to do while travelling about is paying attention to the condition of the roads, sidewalks, seawalls and buildings. If you want to go to mars, you don’t need to build a permanent facility on the moon. Undertaker. Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom) Popular Posts. Currently, aerosol remote sensing can retrieve the total aerosol optical depth, with some ability to discriminate between fine particles and more massive ones, but it can’t tell the difference between sea salt and sulphates, dust or soot. Nov 19, 2005 | English ... It’s ambient music, or “lo-fidelity” or “electronica” or “down-tempo” or whatever other genre has been invented to categorize the synthesis of four people in a room playing music. The shuttle might fly next month. Is it wrong to wish on space hardware? All this to say, that while the OCO failure will be devastating for the teams that worked on the mission, the relatively high chances of a complete failure are part of the price to be paid for working on satellite missions. It’s Wrong to Wish on Space Hardware. Sounds perfect Wahhhh, I don’t wanna. Not only could we be building LARGE, Highly Complex Probes and Satellites; as they would not have to ‘fit’ inside the nose-cone of a Rocket; probes like the Gallileo would not have been such a dismal disappointment (which it was, only because the folded up Antenna failed to deploy properly). Because they dictated the payload launch on a vehicle widely regarded as the most expensive per kilo rocket ever flown, with the worst record of any other vehicle. It's evolution my dear Watson. Ike and T. L. Elfritz, First, the requisite disclaimer: my opinions are my own and do not reflect anything to do with any US agency or department. A talented author could weave an excellent SF scenario wherein we are threatened by a large extraterrestrial body and we’re unable to do anything about it because we literally can’t fly through the cloud of rubbish we’ve put in orbit. Write your congresscritters. We were at a stake youth conference and, of course, he was the biggest attraction. Would we instead have seen a number of highly productive observation plans interrupted or terminated, along with attached scientific careers? The cost of these vehicles and the these vehicles payload weight make them overkill for this type of mission. Problem is, Al, I wish I wish I didn’t care. Exploring emotional attachments to spacecraft. Regarding the demise of the Space Shuttle, I have the same concerns as do others regarding the cost and complexity of the system. Established 2007. It would probably help a lot if they cancelled [edit-lets avoid the politics here] ridiculous Vision for Space Exploration (VSE), the Exploration System Architecture (ESAS) and resulting Ares I, Ares V, Orion capsule, etc, which has already wasted away 10 billion dollars, and are widely regarded as complete failures, even worse than the OSC Taurus, RE : The solution to climate change. There, I feel relieved. It’s a fallacy to say there’s no point in orbiting humans, unless we assume that we have no plans on fixing anything orbited and instead faithfully replace via relaunch whatever experiments or services break prematurely in orbit. Yes, you are the only one. Still NASA’s fault: they should never change Launch Managers one month before launch! This is a limiting factor when it comes to considering strategy based solely on technical merit. That is, if we choose to take advantage of our good luck…. Subscribe To. Is it wrong to wish on space hardware? You don’t seem to understand the depth and complexity of the deficiencies in US strategic launch architecture. Why did just this fairing fail and not the whole rocket or every rocket over the last 8 years? And I remember reading in the newspaper that PowerPoint may have played a role — things being presented in too simplistic and bulletted a way. In the early 20th century someone “proved” that rockets could never manage to get anything into orbit because the chemical energy per unit mass of the fuel is less than the energy per unit mass of an orbiting body. Ask yourself why.”. My! In terms of funding, Nasa’s budget increased from $13.4 billion in 2000 to over $17.3 billion in 2008. Up to this point, its been eerily silent about something like this being put on a satellite. dhogaza: “And remember the planning for the mars manned fantasy, staging through a moon base, came through DOD. Key to the spirit of the book is the work of Joan Fontcuberta, whose Constellations first appear to be vast panoramas of a clear night sky, but are in fact photograms of dead insects crushed against a windscreen. Develop more in-house expertise – at the very least, insist that any “handoff” is accompanied by a team of NASA technicians and engineers who will double-check the whole process. Several studies conducted during 1991–2001 demonstrated, with some assumed launch rates, the future unintended growth potential of the Earth satellite population, resulting from random, accidental collisions among resident space objects. James says: February 10, 2008 at 7:20 pm. From the New York Times 2/25/09 This session will take participants through a visualisation exercise in order to understand more… – they’re piloted, and cheap, and serve the same purpose. 2. The CJLO Magazine editor at the time, (Alex Huynh) replied "[...]wow, that was a good review, thanks... really dug it" upon reading it. This failure was entirely predictable. Is it wrong to wish on space hardware? It's Wrong To Wish On Space Hardware by tim smith, mixed media, watercolour, acrylic and inkKirsty MaColl Lyric Price: $340 Toggle navigation … In the early 20th century someone “proved” that rockets could never manage to get anything into orbit because the chemical energy per unit mass of the fuel is less than the energy per unit mass of an orbiting body. Were it up to me, we wouldn’t be flying manned missions at all. Anyway, as long as we are wishing, how about two more: A) A National Climate Service to deal with climate data and prepare regional climate forecasts, as the National Weather Service does with short-term weather data and forecasts. No serious person makes any contention that manned exploration serves any scientific purpose–other than maybe helping us learn how to keep humans alive in a place they have no business being. My! Nonetheless, both of these other missions should provide some of the information that was anticipated from OCO – though not at the spatial resolution envisaged. A new study has been conducted in the Orbital Debris Program Office at the NASA Lyndon B. Johnson Space Center, using higher fidelity models to evaluate the current debris environment. Thanks Ray for the overview, but I hope that NASA holds a transparent and public inquiry into what went wrong – if it really was something as simple as a mis-wired harness, then that’s a problem – similar to the crash-landing of that Mars probe. A number of satellite related issues have come up this weekend: The NSIDC reminded us that satellite sensors are (like all kinds of data) not perfectly reliable and do not last forever. It's wrong to wish on space hardware Otto. Two great songs. Publicly-funded science in the West uniformly backs the hypothesis that industrial influence is primarily responsible for climate change, although fissures have appeared recently. Obviously, adding polarization will help retrieve these properties, but I just want to make it known that these products are out there. Those food tubes did nothing for me except get in my way and if I didn’t care for the ones left behind without them, the entire world would have been marginally better off without them. While the Taurus does not have an admirable track record, there have been several other similar incidents within the past decade. Enter your e-mail address to receive notifications when there are new posts. The Ibuki and AIRS data will help with this same issue, but OCO data would have been somewhat orthogonal. The space age is only fifty years old and nearing its end, too. And yesterday morning we heard that the Orbiting Carbon Observatory mission launch failed to insert the satellite into orbit, and it is presumably measuring carbon dioxide somewhere at the bottom of the Southern Ocean. Word Count: 13k Tags/Warnings: Alternative Universe © 2021 LensCulture, Inc. Photographs © of their respective owners. Maybe someone can point to on online resource like that. The BBC have now made a clean version of that ident available to watch. Concentrating on a short term goal that helps make the best “do something” determination seems like a sensible idea to me. Two satellites collided by accident last week, littering the orbit with dangerous amounts of debris. This is the sort of failure which suggests that humans could only reach the moon using 1960’s era technology and therefore the peak of human space occurred in the Apollo program. I'm a Minneapolis bummer. It was also amazingly expensive. Training is now called “Talent Cultivation”. Remarkably, the subtle and nuanced language typical in such reports has been set aside. Not that any further catastrophes are needed … there in an infrastructure problem which amounts to our civilization crumbling away right under our feet, the cost of fixing this problem alone would break are already broken budget. Is it wrong to wish on space hardware? NASA and the DOD needs to better fund and fast track the first and second generation COTS vehicles already in motion and use the ones they have, the Delta IV and Atlas V, and if they’d put the moon money into reasonably designed next generation reusable with great growth potential, they’d soon have their commercial heavy lift, and could have a reasonable space program. Another 500 million for a COTS-D competition. Thomas, I think the “reusable” launch vehicle is pretty much dead for now. Manned flight does inspire, though, in a way that science and unmanned exploration do not. As for the Shuttle, the ISS, Mars, etc I think we should leave them be until we have dealt with more urgent matters. The measurements would have been from nearer the surface than the AIRS data, and so closer to the sources and sinks. Maybe he’s not blaming NASA technicians but rather NASA’s appointing Bush as Launch Manager, evidently. The science budget has actually decreased (at least up to the passage of the stimulus). The JAXA AMSR-E sensor can still be used for sea ice extent (and indeed, SSM/I is still sending enough data back to construct 3 day mean pictures). That was a result of funding priorities set by a Republican Congress and the Bush Administration for NASA during the construction of the OCO. As such the satellite had a bunch of extra mass attached and the rocket could not provide enough velocity to achieve orbit. They weren’t all just foolin’ around these past decades. The SSMEs, if properly amortized over fill life cycle costs, are phenomenally competitive to modern disposable launch vehicle engines. I’d really like to see some discussion about putting up a sensor on a satellite that can localize Methane emissions (in addition to the CO2 sensors) – so we’ll know if the methane (permafrost or clathrates) starts cooking off faster than we anticipate, by how much and where they’re doing it. It’s not wrong, it’s just fun, so long as we don’t wish our lives away. I’m trying to understand the extent to which climate researchers are getting what they want or not, and what’s missing, and which sources or uncertainty get reduced or data holes filled. Let us know how much more money Nasa would have needed to get this nose to detach properly. America can do much better than this. Dolphin. 1.5M ratings 277k ratings See, that’s what the app is perfect for. Even sadder for those involved was that the failure came not at with the rocket motor but a part of the launch vehicle used many times before. I have seen the greatest singer in the world perform the greatest song in the world. It's Wrong To Wish on Space Hardware explores the idea of a reality only experienced through photography and visions of a place we can never visit. Sorry, that’s a lot of questions…. "Is it wrong to wish on space hardware?" Also, Kusano never actually said that climate modelling is like ancient astrology; he only said that celestial mechanics started as a branch of astrology (and is now a perfectly good first-class citizen of science!). Marcus (#11): This sort of thing always makes me wonder about whether the companies behind all these “industry organisations” are going to be liable to be sued in the future by people affected by climate change, or whether they have learnt from the tobacco companies and will manage to avoid liability. Hi Giles – you inspired be to get my camera out. That works out to nearly $45k per kilo–not exactly cheap. Given resource constraints (Peak Oil) and the increase impacts of pollution (climate related disasters in the form of droughts and hurricanes), I think it safe to predict that technological civilization’s days are numbered. :-). James Staples alludes to the possibility of the ISS as an assembly facility for satellites. OCO was a relatively cheap proof-of-concept mission and so it might someday get another day in the sun. re: #32 Lynn All of these events have served to remind me at least, that although the space age is 50 years old, we are a long way from the point where we can take our ability to launch and control off-planet machines for granted. — Submit a post. The enemy is us.”. Can you explain how the nose cone fairing detachment failure was the fault of “the Bush administration”? Climatology must work faster and smarter just to keep up with Mother Nature, let alone predict what she will do with our CO2. I’m delighted to see the US government is going to place NASA’s priorities on environmental research, but apparently some people (like Gene Cernan) are really upset with the shift. And the failure to launch the OCO had definitely shed bad light to the agency even more: http://www.newsy.com/videos/launch_fails_for_nasa, I gotta leave a comment if only for the recaptcha, but this is off topic —. Every once in a while, a politician will try to win some votes by exercising the “Vision Thing”–hence Martian Madness and Lunar Lunacy. Constellation Systems funding would soar $1.2 billion or 72 percent to $3.0 billion, leaving all other NASA R&D programs collectively with falling funding. Is it wrong to wish on space hardware? Manned missions are only good for making more manned missions possible – a luxury ill suited to our current situation. Everyone wanted to talk to “British Chris” (Red shirt.) Week Forty: It's Wrong To Wish On Space Hardware. Dano, you are sorely needed over at Dot Earth. A polarimeter detects the changes in polarisation associated with the aerosols which differs greatly between the different types. Is It Wrong To Wish On Space Hardware? In reality, the satellite population growth in LEO will undoubtedly be worse than this study indicates, since spacecraft and their orbital stages will continue to be launched into space. The USA discharges Trillions of tons of sewage annually, sufficient quantity to sustain electrical generation requirements of the USA. I wish, I wish, I wish you'd care. Trolls on steroids are materializing from their parallel universe. My commiserations. The long-term lack of leadership and mission have led to a balkanization and empire building, with a lot of “career bureaucrats” who see the Agency as a place to carve out empires. Obviously there was a flaw somewhere in the argument, but it does show that rocket launches, if not absolutely impossible, are next to impossible! But they are expensive, and as we have learned this week, not 100% reliable. Instability of the present LEO satellite populations Any comments from RC? Sometimes, as with Galileo, they even succeed when portions of them fail. Zain nods in a way that he probably thinks looks sympathetic, patting Liam’s shoulder again. There is strength in a diversified Earth based approach that offers direct measurements in the biosphere, and that in addition provide essential calibration for satellite measurements. This is a big deal because Glory will carry one new instrument (an aerosol polarimeter) that has the unique ability (among sensors flying today) to distinguish between aerosol types in the atmosphere. Sir Arthur C. Clarke called the ISS a “Flying pile of Junk” – change that ‘Junk’ to ‘Pork’, and you’ll know how I feel about it! The thing is cobbled together ICBM stages, it’s almost embarrassing. Each Monte Carlo run simulated the current debris environment and projected it 200 years into the future. If we could only tell everyone, “Stop fighting so we can divert some war money to this important program. It’s wrong to wish on space hardware. You know you are the only one. I wish, I wish you cared19 y/o girl w/ a love of all things tacky ... Is It Wrong To Wish On Space Hardware? Only one of the five top Japanese scientists commissioned here concurs with the man-made global warming hypothesis.”, Translation commissioned by (no surprise!) Steve Pyke's photographs are the result of a personal quest to meet and photograph the principal characters of NASA's fabulous history. Galileo taught us more about Jupiter and its moons than everything we’d ever learned before. It's Wrong To Wish on Space Hardware explores the idea of a reality only experienced through photography and visions of a place we can never visit. We stand on the shoulders on giants, so it is part of the scientific tradition and ethic to give credit were credit is due. They destroy the ozone layer, they pollute the ground water, the have low ISP and they are less reliable than other forms of propulsion. What’s really aggravating is how we’ve poured enough money down various ratholes in the past few years to have lofted an entire fleet of shuttles, shuttle follow-ons, or whatever we might have chosen. William. For instance, the group behind the polarimeter on Glory were trying to find space on a suitable satellite for years before the Glory mission was resurrected. One of the five contributors compares computer climate modelling to ancient astrology. This was always just propaganda–never a real possibility. Where else would that happen, I ask you? The philosophy now is reuse where it makes sense–electronics, etc., but reusing structures that have to decelerate from 7 km/s to 0 while falling 300 km has proved to be a daunting problem. Can you explain how the nose cone fairing detachment failure was the fault of “the Bush administration”? I guess that explains why Elon Musk plans to recover his booster stages. Why did just this fairing fail and not the whole rocket or every rocket over the last 8 years? For CO2, the substitutes are slightly orthogonal – the Japanese Ibuki satellite launched last month will measure CO2 but with a very different footprint than OCO would have used, and the AIRS instrument on Aqua has recently been used to produce a timeseries of mid-troposphere CO2 concentrations since 2004. Quite honestly, the powers that be do not actually want a fully commercialized launch vehicle sector, and are merely paying lip service to them and their customers. This has led many, including the former Administrator, to conclude that increasing the exploration budget was the only way to keep the Agency from dying the death of a thousand budget cuts. Redirecting existing sewage systems to containment facilities would be a considerable infrastructure modification project. But feel free to continue to blame George Bush for this, and any future failures on either launching a satellite designed to find some looming catastrophe you’re hoping to find, or the damned thing’s inability to actually find it. 7). Now it’s about the faintly ridiculous juxtaposition of meaning in life and earning enough to keep body and soul together. Only the presumed lower costs of commercial launch vehicle entries still in development will render the shuttle obsolete, and even those costs are escalating. Space science is extremely expensive, prohibitively expensive when humans are sent into space, and it is unlikely that the United States, bankrupt and insolvent, can afford the expense very much longer. Key to the spirit of the book is the work of Joan Fontcuberta, whose Constellations first appear to be vast panoramas of a clear night sky, but are in fact photograms of dead insects crushed against a windscreen. As to human spaceflight, anyone who knows me knows I am not a big fan. It’s just flat stupid to blame NASA, though, since the satellite is no longer in the agency’s control once it in the rocket. Ask yourself why. Now, smart kids become lawyers or MBAs precisely because they can do the math and apply it to their own future earnings. #44 but that still fits the known facts better than “climatologists sabotaged it so their lies could not be uncovered”. 3. Review the entire “public-private partnership” contracting program at NASA, especially with respect to transparency. Wow – that’s being on top of things, good prepping by her staff. And archival photographs from NASA take on a Hollywood aesthetic, while Victorian constructed images appear to record the wonders of 19th-century astronomy. Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in: It's wrong to wish on space hardware Posted by Unknown at 7:38 AM. It's Wrong To Wish on Space Hardware explores the idea of a reality only experienced through photography and visions of a place we can never visit. B) U.S. membership in the International Renewable Energy Agency, which has something like 75 nations signed up – much along the lines of the IPCC. What you fail to take into account is that NASA is an agency in a fishbowl, but having no cabinet level representation, few true friends in Congress, no clear mission and no really strong public support. — Ask me anything. Gavin, this is a real kick in the head. Reply. It has been a long time since the Agency had a coherent mission. It’s only a quarter of a billion dollars and I heard Bush is not that interested, they said…you think? I currently have no children and no real desire for procreation and continuation of my line. Again, these are not my opinions. Aaron, you think NASA said don’t work so hard on this. Put “monitoring the Earth” back up on the list of primary NASA goals. It’ll be another few years before work accomplished by the first Hubble service mission could be accomplished by robots or even for that matter tele-operated prosthetics; the upcoming mission is decades beyond our robotic abilities. Powerpoint: see Tufte’s 4th book, “Envisioning Information”, chapter “The Cognitive Style of Powerpoint: Pitching Out Corrupts Within”, pp.162-168. So by the time we get another satellite up there, the CO2 emissions should be cut in half at least :) So let’s get too it. The report by Japan Society of Energy and Resources (JSER) is astonishing rebuke to international pressure, and a vote of confidence in Japan’s native marine and astronomical research. Billy Bragg's A New England, thirty years old right now, is one of the great lyrics of the latter part of the Twentieth Century. Then again, if I didn’t care, there would have been several grisly murders over the past two decades. Like most other satellite products, these aren’t perfect, but they are tested and their quality statements are available. I long ago reconciled myself to the gutting idea that there is no simple way to avoid the need for an income to survive in the world. I was very saddened to read about this. Chisel. The Register article totally ignored the rebuttals by IPCC scientist Seita Emori. http://www.theregister.co.uk/2009/02/25/jstor_climate_report_translation/. Is It Wrong To Wish On Space Hardware? It’s worth discussing a little what OCO was going to be useful for. Since it takes forever for a satellite to come together and get up there we’re looking at 5 years from now or so. European beer blogger. There was no good reason to commit this valuable and critical environmental mission payload to the vehicle selected. However, all of that and more has gone to manned flight. And last year, the entire agency took a 75% hit to its travel budget just because some loon in Congress didn’t like how some loons at HQ used their travel budget. You would have been able to see point sources quite clearly and this would have been a good check on the national inventories of fossil fuel use, and may have been useful at constraining the rather uncertain deforestation contribution to the anthropogenic carbon dioxide sources. yours sincerely Dear tiny Miami-based business owner, I appreciate your hard work and applaud you on your success. This just reminds me of how beneficial it WOULD have been, if we’d built the ISS to spec; as it’s design originally called for it to have a kind of ‘Space Garage’ in which satelites and probes could be assembled. 19. Mass, power and budget constraints mean that there are bound to be single-point failures. Boxer quickly pointed out that the JSER was more of an industry organization than a scientific organization. Missions with teh potential to improve our understanding of climate should be getting top priority, followed by those like the Webb telescope which should produce some very good new pure science. Tuesday, December 6, 2011. Thank you for taking this otherwise sad occasion of the OCO failure and turning out thoughts to reevaluate the big picture of the cost/benefit for different approaches measuring global GHG’s. Let us know how much more money Nasa would have needed to get this nose to detach properly. ( 2 ), I wish I wish I didn ’ t measurements would have needed rely... ): Inhofe cited this report in this morning ’ s only a quarter of a billion dollars and ’... Check their results and experiences from the public tend it's wrong to wish on space hardware assume that space hardware hardware by Smith, (! Franklin–For want of an industry organization than a scientific organization and fictional Forty it... That, the UK, Bavaria and Bohemia missions are only good for more... 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